49.3%
Result accuracy across 706 settled predictions. That means we picked the winning side (or correct draw) in roughly 49 out of every 100 matches.
💡 Is 49.3% actually good?
It's a fair question. Here's how to read it honestly:
If you just guessed at random between home win, draw, or away win, you'd land roughly 33% of the time. Always picking the home team — historically the strongest baseline a beginner could use — lands around 46%.
Professional bookmakers' favourites land around 52–55%, but they have whole quant teams and billions in liquidity setting their odds. We sit between the home-team baseline and the bookies' favourites, which for an AI-driven model is genuinely competitive territory. Importantly, we're honest about it — most prediction sites either hide their accuracy or quote unrealistic numbers.
📈 Recent Daily Form last 14 days · live data, not curated
🏆 Where We're Strongest top leagues · 20+ predictions
📉 Where We Struggle Most honest disclosure · 20+ predictions
Football competitions vary in predictability. Lower-tier leagues, knockout cups, and competitions with high squad rotation are genuinely harder to model. We show this honestly because hiding it wouldn't make it less true.
🎯 Does Our Confidence Mean Anything? do high-confidence picks land more often?
Every prediction gets a confidence label: High, Medium, or Low. The chart below shows the result hit rate for each. If High beats Medium beats Low, our confidence is properly calibrated — meaning we know when we know.
📊 Our Four Scoring Markets
We score every prediction across four markets. Some are easier than others — exact scoreline is genuinely hard, BTTS and Over/Under are coin-flip baselines.
A note on honesty. The numbers above are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit this page. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing predictions. Every match prediction we've ever logged sits in the dataset, settled or not.
No prediction is a guarantee. Past performance doesn't predict future results — football is genuinely unpredictable, that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.