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๐Ÿ€ NBA Track Record ยท Last 30 days

61.3%

Result accuracy across 62 settled predictions. That means we picked the winning side in roughly 61 out of every 100 matches.

โœ“ That's 11.3 percentage points better than guessing randomly

๐Ÿ’ก Is 61.3% actually good?

It's a fair question. Here's how to read it honestly:

If you just guessed at random between home win or away win โ€” there are no draws in NBA, you'd land 50% of the time. Always picking the home team โ€” historically the strongest baseline a beginner could use โ€” lands around 58%.

Professional bookmakers' favourites land around 65โ€“68%, but they have whole quant teams and billions in liquidity setting their odds. We sit between the home-team baseline and the bookies' favourites, which for an AI-driven model is genuinely competitive territory. Importantly, we're honest about it โ€” most prediction sites either hide their accuracy or quote unrealistic numbers.

About this sample: Our NBA coverage started in April 2026 during the playoffs. This number is based on 62 settled predictions โ€” meaningful, but smaller than our football dataset. Regular season starts October and the sample will grow rapidly.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Recent Daily Form last 14 days ยท live data, not curated

Sun 17 May 1 pick
100%
Fri 15 May 2 picks
0%
Wed 13 May 2 picks
50%
Tue 12 May 2 picks
100%
Sun 10 May 3 picks
66.7%
Sat 9 May 2 picks
50%
Fri 8 May 2 picks
100%
Thu 7 May 2 picks
100%
Wed 6 May 2 picks
100%

๐ŸŽฏ Does Our Confidence Mean Anything? do high-confidence picks land more often?

Every prediction gets a confidence label: High, Medium, or Low. The chart below shows the result hit rate for each. If High beats Medium beats Low, our confidence is properly calibrated โ€” meaning we know when we know.

High
100% 4 picks
Medium
65.9% 41 picks
Low
41.2% 17 picks

๐Ÿ“Š Our Scoring Markets

We score every prediction across two markets. Picking the winning side is the headline; landing the exact final score is genuinely hard.

Result
61.3%
Picked the winning team. Random is 50% โ€” there are no draws in NBA.
Exact Score
64.5%
Predicted final score matched exactly. Genuinely hard โ€” NBA scores vary widely.

A note on honesty. The numbers above are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit this page. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing predictions. Every match prediction we've ever logged sits in the dataset, settled or not.

No prediction is a guarantee. Past performance doesn't predict future results โ€” basketball is genuinely unpredictable, that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.