57.7%
Moneyline accuracy across 71 settled games. We picked the winning team in roughly 58 out of every 100 games — computed live from the database on each load, losses included.
💡 Is 57.7% actually good?
For MLB moneyline, yes. Picking the winner at random is a 50% coin flip; strong baseball models live in the 55–58% range, and the betting market itself only lands around 57%. We post 58% here from game one, with nothing cherry-picked or quietly dropped.
And it's real: recomputed live from the prediction database on every page load, losses included.
About this sample: our MLB coverage is new — this is 71 settled games. Treat it as an early read, not a long-run rate; it firms up quickly as the season's games settle.
⚾ How Our MLB Calls Score moneyline is the headline · totals shown as honest calibration
Over/Under and first-five-innings calls aren't graded yet — Over/Under needs a market line and first-five needs per-inning data. Rather than invent a hit-rate, the totals card is honest calibration: how close our projected run total lands to the real one. When that data's wired, these become proper hit-rates here.
🎯 Accuracy by Confidence Label do higher-confidence picks land more often?
Every pick carries a confidence label from the engine. The bars show the moneyline hit rate for each label in this period.
Per-label counts are still small — read this as a directional early signal, not a settled rate.
⚾ Every Settled Game 71 games · pick vs result, losses included
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers 60%
Pick: Boston Red Sox 67%
Pick: Cleveland Guardians 53%
Pick: Chicago Cubs 59%
Pick: Miami Marlins 58%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 57%
Pick: Atlanta Braves 56%
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies 59%
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates 54%
Pick: San Diego Padres 52%
Pick: Detroit Tigers 52%
Pick: Seattle Mariners 51%
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals 57%
Pick: Texas Rangers 56%
Pick: Cincinnati Reds 53%
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers 59%
Pick: Boston Red Sox 67%
Pick: Cleveland Guardians 53%
Pick: Miami Marlins 56%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 61%
Pick: New York Yankees 55%
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies 62%
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates 55%
Pick: San Diego Padres 52%
Pick: Seattle Mariners 51%
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals 59%
Pick: Texas Rangers 55%
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks 51%
Pick: Atlanta Braves 57%
Pick: Los Angeles Angels 61%
Pick: Boston Red Sox 60%
Pick: Chicago Cubs 52%
Pick: Cincinnati Reds 72%
Pick: New York Mets 68%
Pick: Kansas City Royals 52%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 53%
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies 68%
Pick: Seattle Mariners 52%
Pick: San Diego Padres 52%
Pick: Atlanta Braves 54%
Pick: Baltimore Orioles 53%
Pick: Boston Red Sox 54%
Pick: Chicago Cubs 52%
Pick: Cincinnati Reds 57%
Pick: Cleveland Guardians 51%
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 57%
Pick: Houston Astros 65%
Pick: Kansas City Royals 52%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 55%
Pick: New York Yankees 58%
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies 59%
Pick: Seattle Mariners 56%
Pick: Texas Rangers 57%
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks 53%
Pick: Atlanta Braves 56%
Pick: Boston Red Sox 53%
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers 60%
Pick: Cincinnati Reds 54%
Pick: Cleveland Guardians 57%
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 57%
Pick: Houston Astros 54%
Pick: Minnesota Twins 56%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 57%
Pick: New York Yankees 61%
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies 65%
Pick: Texas Rangers 60%
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks 52%
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays 58%
Pick: Houston Astros 54%
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers 56%
Pick: New York Yankees 63%
A note on honesty. These numbers are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing picks — every settled game sits in the dataset.
No prediction is a guarantee. Baseball is genuinely unpredictable — that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.