40%
Result accuracy across 5 settled predictions. That means we picked the winning side in roughly 40 out of every 100 matches.
💡 Is 40% actually good?
It's a fair question. Here's how to read it honestly:
If you just guessed at random between home win or away win — there are no draws in NBA, you'd land 50% of the time. Always picking the home team — historically the strongest baseline a beginner could use — lands around 58%.
Professional bookmakers' favourites land around 65–68%, but they have whole quant teams and billions in liquidity setting their odds. We sit just below the home-team baseline, which for an AI-driven model is an honest place to be while the model matures. Importantly, we're honest about it — most prediction sites either hide their accuracy or quote unrealistic numbers.
About this sample: Our NBA coverage started in April 2026 during the playoffs. This number is based on 5 settled predictions — meaningful, but smaller than our football dataset. Regular season starts October and the sample will grow rapidly.
📈 Recent Daily Form last 14 days · live data, not curated
🎯 Does Our Confidence Mean Anything? do high-confidence picks land more often?
Every prediction gets a confidence label: High, Medium, or Low. The chart below shows the result hit rate for each. If High beats Medium beats Low, our confidence is properly calibrated — meaning we know when we know.
📊 Our Scoring Markets
We score every prediction across two markets. Picking the winning side is the headline; landing the exact final score is genuinely hard.
A note on honesty. The numbers above are computed live from our prediction database every time you visit this page. We don't curate, hide bad runs, or quietly drop losing predictions. Every match prediction we've ever logged sits in the dataset, settled or not.
No prediction is a guarantee. Past performance doesn't predict future results — basketball is genuinely unpredictable, that's why it's fun to follow. Predictions are for information and entertainment only. If you bet, never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. BeGambleAware.org.