Aalesund vs Brann
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund Win | 11/4 3.75 | 25% | 7% | -18% |
| Draw | 3/1 4.08 | 23% | 13% | -10% |
| Brann Win Value | 4/5 1.80 | 52% | 80% | +28% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 10 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Brann (52% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Aalesund in relegation danger (P15/16)
- 😴 Brann mid-table (P6) — low motivation
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Aalesund WLDLLDLDWL (home: DDLL), avg 1.45 scored/1.97 conceded; Brann WDWWDWLLWL (away: DWDLW), avg 2.6 scored/1.37 conceded
H2H: Brann dominant — 6 wins in 8, avg 4 goals/game, consistent away wins
Stakes: Aalesund in relegation danger (P15/16) — motivated; Brann mid-table (P6) — lower urgency but quality prevails
Betting: BTTS likely given H2H goal-fest history and Aalesund's need to attack; Over 2.5 supported by Brann's attacking output and H2H high-scoring trend
⚔️ Head to Head
Brann have won 6 of last 8 meetings and the fixture consistently produces high-scoring games (avg 4 goals/game). Brann won the most recent encounter 2-1 in April 2026.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Aalesund will be pushed forward out of relegation necessity and have scored in recent games (3-2, 1-1 last two at home); Brann's clinical attack averaging 2.6 goals per game away should comfortably find the net multiple times, making both teams scoring highly likely.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
A combined total of 4 goals is predicted (1-3), well above the 2.5 threshold. H2H fixtures in this tie average 4 goals per game, Brann's away form is prolific, and Aalesund's defensive injury issues make conceding multiple goals almost inevitable.