Albania vs Israel
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania Win | 6/4 2.45 | 39% | 32% | -7% |
| Draw Value | 9/4 3.20 | 29% | 38% | +9% |
| Israel Win | 15/8 2.82 | 32% | 30% | -2% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Albania W2 at home (4-2, 1-0); Israel D1 W1 away (0-0, 1-0)
H2H: Israel historically dominant (4 wins in last 6), avg 2.5 goals/game, away_dominant pattern
Stakes: International friendly — limited direct motivation, leans toward draw
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Israel have won 4 of last 6 meetings including recent away victories, but historical H2H averages only 2.5 goals per game, suggesting tight, competitive encounters rather than high-scoring affairs.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.