Albania vs Israel

Wed 3 Jun 2026

Final Score

0 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 1

Draw High

Albania

32%

Draw

38%

Israel

30%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Albania Win	6/4 2.45	39%	32%	-7%
Draw Value	9/4 3.20	29%	38%	+9%
Israel Win	15/8 2.82	32%	30%	-2%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Albania W2 at home (4-2, 1-0); Israel D1 W1 away (0-0, 1-0)
H2H: Israel historically dominant (4 wins in last 6), avg 2.5 goals/game, away_dominant pattern
Stakes: International friendly — limited direct motivation, leans toward draw
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' capacity to score; Under 2.5 favoured given Israel's defensive form and low xG totals (0.79 vs 0.75)

⚔️ Head to Head

Israel have won 4 of last 6 meetings including recent away victories, but historical H2H averages only 2.5 goals per game, suggesting tight, competitive encounters rather than high-scoring affairs.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams have demonstrated the ability to find the net — Albania have scored in their last two home games and Israel scored in their most recent win. With evenly matched squads, full availability, and Israel's history of scoring against Albania even away from home, both sides are capable of getting on the scoresheet in this balanced friendly.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Despite H2H averaging 2.5 goals, the statistical model produces very low xG for both sides (under 0.8 each), Israel's recent defensive record has been watertight (0 conceded in two games), and both teams have limited attacking incentive in a friendly context. Total goals are more likely to stay at or under 2, making under 2.5 the stronger lean.

CleverScore confidence: High

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org