Albania vs Luxembourg
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania Win Value | 3/5 1.61 | 58% | 85% | +27% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.68 | 26% | 9% | -17% |
| Luxembourg Win | 9/2 5.51 | 16% | 6% | -10% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 12 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Albania (58% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Albania W2 home, scoring freely (avg 1.96 goals scored, 0.8 conceded); Luxembourg DLLW overall, L away, avg 0.27 goals scored
H2H: Limited data
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation, but Albania playing at home with strong recent momentum
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.