Anderlecht vs St. Truiden
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht Win | 11/10 2.13 | 44% | 43% | -1% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.70 | 26% | 17% | -9% |
| St. Truiden Win Value | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 40% | +10% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Anderlecht in relegation danger (P4/6)
- 🎯 St. Truiden chasing top-2 (P3)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Anderlecht poor at home (DLLWL), low attack output 1.54 avg scored; St. Truiden better recent form with key wins in last 5
H2H: 6 Anderlecht wins historically but most recent meeting was a 2-0 St. Truiden away victory — significant momentum shift
Stakes: Anderlecht desperately need points to avoid relegation but poor home form undermines this; St. Truiden highly motivated chasing top-2
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Anderlecht historically dominant in this fixture (6W/1D/1L) but the most recent meeting saw St. Truiden win 2-0 away, suggesting a momentum reversal that aligns with current season form disparity.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.