Angola vs Mauritania
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angola Win | 11/8 2.35 | 39% | 27% | -12% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 45% | +15% |
| Mauritania Win | 2/1 3.04 | 31% | 28% | -3% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Angola solid at home (DDWLWWWD), Mauritania poor away (LDDDLL) and lowest scoring team in this matchup
H2H: 2 Angola wins, 2 draws, 1 Mauritania win in last 5; avg 2.2 goals/game but recent meetings have been tight
Stakes: Friendly fixture, both teams mid-table with no pressure — Angola home pride provides the marginal motivation edge
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
H2H is closely balanced but Angola have won 2 of the last 5 and were the better side in the most recent meeting (3-2 in Jan 2024). Away from home Mauritania have historically struggled to impose themselves.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.