Austria vs Guatemala
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 4 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Win | 1/5 1.21 | 78% | 41% | -37% |
| Draw Value | 9/2 5.75 | 16% | 36% | +20% |
| Guatemala Win Value | 14/1 14.75 | 6% | 23% | +17% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 4 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Austria (78% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Austria form data limited but ELO at 1830 reflects consistent quality; Guatemala averaging 1.97 goals conceded per game across recent fixtures
H2H: Limited data available between these sides
Stakes: International friendly — low competitive stakes, but Austria will use this as preparation and pride; Guatemala may treat it as valuable experience against top opposition
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no meaningful recent H2H history available between Austria and Guatemala
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.