Bahrain vs Syria
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 6 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahrain Win | 11/8 2.35 | 40% | 29% | -11% |
| Draw Value | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 40% | +10% |
| Syria Win | 2/1 3.08 | 30% | 31% | +1% |
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bahrain inconsistent (20% win rate, avg 1.13 scored); Syria more defensively solid (0.74 conceded, 29% win rate)
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with nothing on the line — low motivation context favours a cautious, balanced contest and lean toward draw
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — both nations are evenly matched on ELO (1500 each), suggesting historically close encounters when they have met.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.