Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München Win Value | 2/5 1.39 | 68% | 74% | +6% |
| Draw | 9/2 5.66 | 17% | 16% | -1% |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 11/2 6.35 | 15% | 10% | -5% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 Knockout fixture — both teams fully motivated
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bayern 10-game form WWDDLWWWWW with avg 3.38 goals scored at home; Stuttgart away form DDLWL with 40% overall win rate
H2H: Bayern won 7 of last 8, avg 4 goals/game, dominated recent meetings 4-2, 5-0, 2-1, 3-1, 4-0
Stakes: DFB Pokal knockout — both fully motivated, elimination on the line, business end of season
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Bayern have been utterly dominant in recent H2H, winning 7 of 8 meetings with an average of 4 goals per game. Recent scorelines of 4-2, 5-0, 3-1 and 4-0 all point to high-scoring Bayern victories at this venue.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.