Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
📖 The Preview
Bodo/Glimt are absolutely flying right now, nine wins from their last ten and sitting top of the table with a title to chase. Lillestrom, by contrast, have won just two of their last six and head into this one without Kitolano, Alperud, and Jebara through injury. The head-to-head record tells its own story too, six wins from eight for the hosts. Expect Bodo/Glimt to do enough to grind out a narrow 1-0, with neither side contributing much going forward once the home side get their nose in front.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt Win | 1/4 1.25 | 75% | 72% | -3% |
| Draw | 5/1 6.20 | 15% | 13% | -2% |
| Lillestrom Win Value | 8/1 9.20 | 10% | 15% | +5% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 Bodo/Glimt in title race (P1)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bodo/Glimt xG 4.5 | Lillestrom xG 1.2
Projected: 87% / 5% / 8%
H2H: 6W-0D-2L
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
6W-0D-2L for Bodo/Glimt in H2H
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.