Bolton vs Stockport County
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Win Value | 13/8 2.58 | 36% | 50% | +14% |
| Draw | 2/1 3.04 | 30% | 26% | -4% |
| Stockport County Win | 7/4 2.80 | 34% | 24% | -10% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Bolton mid-table (P5) — low motivation
- 🎯 Stockport County chasing top-2 (P3)
- 📊 Learning: draw probability nudged higher based on League One history
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Bolton home record WLDWD is solid; Stockport away record WWDWLD shows consistent road quality. H2H: 3.8 avg goals per game, Stockport have dominated historically (4 wins in last 8) but the April 2026 meeting ended 2-2 at Bolton. Stakes: Stockport chasing top-2 are heavily motivated; Bolton mid-table with low motivation but home comfort. Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' scoring records and H2H history; Over 2.5 favoured given 3.8 H2H average and Stockport's attacking intent.
⚔️ Head to Head
Stockport have won 4 of the last 8 meetings and Bolton just 1, but the most recent head-to-head at Bolton's ground ended 2-2 in April 2026, and H2H games average 3.8 goals — pointing firmly toward a goal-heavy encounter.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.