Cambodia vs Hong Kong
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 5 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambodia Win Value | 4/1 4.80 | 19% | 25% | +6% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.85 | 24% | 44% | +20% |
| Hong Kong Win | 4/6 1.67 | 57% | 31% | -26% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 5 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Hong Kong (57% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Cambodia winless in 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.65 goals scored; Hong Kong inconsistent away (LLLW in last 4 away)
H2H: 3 draws and 3 Hong Kong wins in last 6, average 2.3 goals/game, draw-prone pattern; last meeting was 1-1
Stakes: Friendly match, no competitive pressure on either side — classic nothing-to-play-for scenario favouring a draw
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
3 of the last 6 H2H meetings ended in draws, including the most recent 1-1 in November 2025; when not drawing, Hong Kong have won (3-0, 3-0, 2-0), but home advantage and friendly context make a repeat of the 1-1 most likely.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.