Canada vs Rep. Of Ireland
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada Win | 4/6 1.65 | 57% | 32% | -25% |
| Draw Value | 5/2 3.60 | 26% | 42% | +16% |
| Rep. Of Ireland Win Value | 9/2 5.41 | 17% | 26% | +9% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 13 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Canada (57% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Canada in solid home form (WDDLDWW), low goals conceded; Ireland have drawn both recent games with minimal attacking output.
H2H: Limited historical data between these sides.
Stakes: International friendly — low competitive pressure, but Canada hosting ahead of their home World Cup in 2026 provides added motivation to perform.
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trends.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.