Cape Verde Islands vs Bermuda
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Verde Islands Win | 1/25 1.06 | 89% | 39% | -50% |
| Draw Value | 10/1 11.38 | 8% | 39% | +31% |
| Bermuda Win Value | 25/1 29.00 | 3% | 22% | +19% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 10 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Cape Verde Islands (89% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Cape Verde low-scoring but defensively resilient at home (DLW, recent scores 1-1, 0-0, 1-1); Bermuda lost both recent games 0-2 and 3-5 with 6.5 avg conceded
H2H: Limited data
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive stakes — motivation moderate for both sides, but Cape Verde playing at home provides edge
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.