China vs Thailand
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Win | 10/11 1.95 | 47% | 34% | -13% |
| Draw Value | 9/4 3.25 | 29% | 38% | +9% |
| Thailand Win | 11/4 3.75 | 24% | 28% | +4% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: China poor (WLL, 0.67 avg scored), Thailand strong (WLWWW, 1.73 avg scored)
H2H: 3 China wins, 1 draw, 1 Thailand win in last 5; avg 2.2 goals/game
Stakes: Friendly match, minimal competitive pressure, draw is a realistic friendly outcome
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
China have dominated home H2H fixtures historically, but the last meeting ended 1-1 in June 2024, and Thailand won in March 2019 — trend suggests close, competitive matches with goals on both sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.