Colombia vs Costa Rica
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia Win Value | 1/7 1.15 | 81% | 90% | +9% |
| Draw | 6/1 6.82 | 13% | 7% | -6% |
| Costa Rica Win | 16/1 17.00 | 6% | 3% | -3% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Colombia WWDW with 3.6 avg goals scored and only 0.45 conceded — dominant home record. Costa Rica DDWWWWL overall but DDWL away, conceding heavily.
H2H: Colombia won 2 of last 3 meetings, including a 3-0 in June 2024. Average 4 goals/game in H2H — high-scoring trend favors goals.
Stakes: International friendly but both squads fully available; Colombia playing at home with full motivation ahead of World Cup qualifying cycle.
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Colombia dominant at home in H2H — won 3-0 and 3-1 in last two home meetings. The only CRC win came away in 2016. Average of 4 goals per game across last 3 meetings reinforces expectation of a high-scoring Colombia victory.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 3-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-0 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.