Congo DR vs Chile

Tue 9 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 2

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 1

Draw High

Congo DR

27%

Draw

34%

Chile

39%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Congo DR Win	11/10 2.15	43%	27%	-16%
Draw	2/1 3.10	30%	34%	+4%
Chile Win Value	9/4 3.35	27%	39%	+12%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Congo DR solid at home WWWWL; Chile in excellent overall form WWWW
H2H: Limited data between these sides
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation for both, no competitive pressure
Betting: BTTS supported by both teams' ability to score; Under 2.5 lean given both defences are tight and xG totals are modest (0.79 + 1.13)

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — insufficient H2H history to establish a reliable trend between Congo DR and Chile.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams have demonstrated the ability to find the net regularly — Congo DR average 1.2 goals scored per game at home and Chile average 1.78 goals per game in their recent run. Chile's attacking quality (6-1, 2-1, 2-0 in recent outings) is enough to trouble even Congo DR's defence, while Congo DR's home form and crowd backing should allow them to convert at least one opportunity against a Chilean defence that is untested at this level.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Total predicted goals is 2 (1-1), pointing to under 2.5. Both defences have been miserly — Congo DR concede just 0.59 per game at home and Chile concede 0.47 per game. The xG model projects a combined 1.92 expected goals, and with this being a low-stakes friendly where neither side will overcommit, a tight, disciplined affair under 2.5 goals is the most probable outcome.

CleverScore confidence: High

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org