Czech Republic vs Guatemala
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic Win | 1/6 1.16 | 79% | 69% | -10% |
| Draw Value | 11/2 6.50 | 14% | 19% | +5% |
| Guatemala Win Value | 14/1 16.00 | 7% | 12% | +5% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Czech Republic unbeaten at home (WD), low conceding record (0.36 avg). Guatemala inconsistent (LDWLWDWLW), leaky defence conceding ~2 per game away.
H2H: Limited data between these nations.
Stakes: International friendly — neither side has competitive stakes, but Czech Republic will use this as preparation and Guatemala face a tough ELO test.
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Czech Republic's defensive solidity and Guatemala's poor attacking output in stronger opposition contexts. Under 2.5 is borderline but 2-0 sits just at the threshold; Czech Republic likely to score twice without reply.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw meaningful trends between Czech Republic and Guatemala.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Czech Republic have conceded just 0.36 goals per game on average in recent form and the model projects Guatemala to generate only 0.75 xG. Guatemala's attack has been inconsistent against quality opposition and Czech Republic's organised defensive unit is expected to keep a clean sheet, making BTTS unlikely.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Although Czech Republic are expected to score twice, the total of 2 goals lands exactly at 2.5, meaning this prediction sits under 2.5 goals. Czech Republic's recent matches produced only 1-0 and 1-1 scorelines, and despite Guatemala's leaky defence, Czech Republic's own conservative attacking output (0.76 avg scored) tempers expectations — under 2.5 is the lean here.