Czech Republic vs Kosovo
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic Win | 4/6 1.70 | 55% | 36% | -19% |
| Draw Value | 5/2 3.62 | 26% | 38% | +12% |
| Kosovo Win Value | 4/1 4.79 | 19% | 26% | +7% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Kosovo (355d) vs Czech Republic (198d) — Kosovo significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Czech Republic solid defensively at home (W/D, 1-0, 1-1), Kosovo in rampant form (W/W, 4-2, 5-2) but those results may inflate away scoring expectations. H2H: 1 win each in last 2 meetings, both ended 2-1, avg 3 goals/game. Stakes: Friendly with no competitive stakes — both teams have something to prove but motivation is moderate; Kosovo's longer rest edge is noted. Betting: BTTS likely given Kosovo's attacking threat and Czech Republic scoring in both recent games; Under 2.5 preferred given Czech Republic's defensive resilience at home and low xG model output (0.79 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Head to Head
Last 2 H2H meetings both ended 2-1 with each team winning once (home and away swapped), indicating closely contested games where both teams score but margins are tight.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.