Denmark vs Ukraine
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark Win Value | 4/6 1.70 | 55% | 84% | +29% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.60 | 26% | 9% | -17% |
| Ukraine Win | 4/1 5.00 | 19% | 7% | -12% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 11 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Denmark (55% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Denmark in dominant home form (W-W, 5-0 and 2-1), Ukraine W-L overall with shaky away defence
H2H: Limited data available for recent meetings
Stakes: International friendly — lower competitive motivation on both sides, though Denmark will want a positive performance on home soil
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient recent H2H history to establish a reliable trend between these two sides.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.