England vs New Zealand

Sat 6 Jun 2026

Final Score

1 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

3 – 0

Home Win High

England

84%

Draw

10%

New Zealand

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
England Win	1/10 1.10	86%	84%	-2%
Draw	8/1 9.50	10%	10%	±0%
New Zealand Win	25/1 25.00	4%	6%	+2%

No value markets in this fixture — our model and the bookmakers broadly agree on the 1X2 outcome.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: England inconsistent but strong at home vs lower opposition; New Zealand winless in 7 of 8 with minimal attacking threat (0.29 avg goals scored)
H2H: Limited data but large quality gap strongly favours England
Stakes: Friendly fixture, but England will want a strong home performance ahead of 2026 World Cup preparations; New Zealand have little to play for beyond experience
Betting: BTTS unlikely given New Zealand's inability to score (0.29 avg goals) against an England defence conceding just 1.08 per game; Over 2.5 strongly supported by England's xG of 3.17 and model's top scoreline of 3-0 at 11.7%

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data between these sides, but the 435-point ELO gap is one of the largest possible mismatches and consistently points toward a dominant England win with a clean sheet.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
New Zealand are extremely unlikely to score, averaging just 0.29 goals per game and failing to find the net in the majority of their recent matches. England's defence has been solid, conceding only 1.08 per game, and against a team of New Zealand's limited attacking quality a clean sheet is the most probable outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
With England's xG sitting at 3.17 and the statistical model placing 3-0 and 2-0 as the top two scorelines, the total goals are expected to come entirely from England's side. Three or more goals from England alone makes over 2.5 highly likely, and the massive quality gap reinforces a multi-goal English performance.

CleverScore confidence: High

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org