Greece vs Italy

Sun 7 Jun 2026

Final Score

0 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 1

Draw Medium

Greece

34%

Draw

38%

Italy

28%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Greece Win	1/1 2.01	46%	34%	-12%
Draw Value	5/2 3.60	26%	38%	+12%
Italy Win	5/2 3.40	28%	28%	±0%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Greece in excellent home form (4-0, 4-1) but Italy's H2H record is strong. Italy's away data is limited but recent H2H dominance matters.
H2H: Italy won both last meetings (3-0 and 2-0), suggesting they can contain Greece — but this is a friendly and neither side has a points incentive.
Stakes: International friendly — low motivation on both sides, reduces likelihood of high-scoring game.
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.

⚔️ Head to Head

Italy dominant in last 2 meetings, winning both and keeping Greece scoreless, with an aggregate of 5-0. However, friendlies can reset trends.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org