Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd
📖 The Preview
Hearts are slight favourites here at just over half probability, and you can see why a 2-1 home win makes sense. Their form has been a bit patchy lately but playing in front of their own fans gives them a genuine edge. Dundee United have actually had a week longer to rest up which could help them cause problems and nick a goal, which the both-teams-to-score prediction suggests they will. Still, Hearts should have enough at Tynecastle to edge it across three goals.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian Win | 8/13 1.64 | 58% | 57% | -1% |
| Draw | 3/1 4.00 | 23% | 22% | -1% |
| Dundee Utd Win | 4/1 4.90 | 19% | 21% | +2% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆕 Fresh standings — no meaningful positions established yet, both sides starting on equal footing
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Dundee Utd (8d) vs Heart Of Midlothian (2d) — Dundee Utd significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Hearts struggling badly (LLLWLWWL overall, conceding 2.98 avg) but hold home edge; Dundee Utd in reasonable form (DLWWLW) with strong scoring avg (2.32) away record mixed (LLW)
H2H: Limited recent data available
Stakes: Early season, no pressure positions — both sides in normal motivation bracket, no relegation/promotion urgency
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to establish a clear trend; defaulting to current form and ELO differential as primary drivers.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.