Hungary vs Kazakhstan
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary Win | 1/4 1.25 | 68% | 34% | -34% |
| Draw Value | 9/2 5.50 | 17% | 42% | +25% |
| Kazakhstan Win Value | 9/1 10.00 | 15% | 24% | +9% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 11 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Hungary (68% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Hungary WL overall, L at home recently but bookmakers strongly favour them; Kazakhstan LLWL overall, LL away — poor road record.
H2H: Limited data available.
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive implications — both sides rested but motivation is modest, favouring a cautious, low-scoring affair.
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.