Japan vs Iceland

Sun 31 May 2026

Final Score

1 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

3 – 1

Home Win Medium

Japan

71%

Draw

14%

Iceland

15%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Japan Win	2/9 1.23	75%	71%	-4%
Draw	5/1 5.78	16%	14%	-2%
Iceland Win Value	10/1 11.00	9%	15%	+6%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

⚡ Stakes & Context

⏱️ Rest advantage: Iceland (354d) vs Japan (194d) — Iceland significantly fresher

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Japan WWWDLDWWW with strong home record; Iceland LW with very limited sample
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: Friendly match, both teams using as World Cup 2026 preparation — Japan have stronger competitive momentum
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-1.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-1 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org