Kenya vs Lesotho

Sun 7 Jun 2026

Final Score

4 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Kenya

35%

Draw

38%

Lesotho

27%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 4 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Kenya Win	5/6 1.84	50%	35%	-15%
Draw Value	9/4 3.35	28%	38%	+10%
Lesotho Win Value	3/1 4.15	22%	27%	+5%

2 value markets identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Kenya LLWDWD with low attacking output (0.39 avg scored); Lesotho LDLLWLWLDL with minimal attacking threat (0.18 avg scored)
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive points on the line — low motivation for both sides, expect conservative, low-intensity play
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org