Kenya vs Lesotho

Sun 7 Jun 2026

Final Score

4 – 0

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✗ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Kenya

35%

Draw

38%

Lesotho

27%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 4 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Kenya Win	5/6 1.84	50%	35%	-15%
Draw Value	9/4 3.35	28%	38%	+10%
Lesotho Win Value	3/1 4.15	22%	27%	+5%

2 value markets identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Kenya LLWDWD with low attacking output (0.39 avg scored); Lesotho LDLLWLWLDL with minimal attacking threat (0.18 avg scored)
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive points on the line — low motivation for both sides, expect conservative, low-intensity play
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Lesotho's severely limited attack (0.18 goals avg); Under 2.5 strongly supported by both teams' poor scoring records and xG below 0.80 each

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Lesotho have averaged just 0.18 goals per game in recent form and have failed to score in four of their last five matches. With Kenya's home defence and Lesotho's chronic attacking struggles, the away side is highly unlikely to find the net, making BTTS improbable.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both teams carry extremely low attacking output — Kenya at 0.39 and Lesotho at 0.18 goals per game — with combined xG of just 1.54. The model's top scorelines are all 0-0, 1-0, and 0-1, firmly indicating this friendly will stay well under 2.5 goals total.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org