Lazio vs Inter
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio Win | 4/1 5.00 | 18% | 4% | -14% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.65 | 26% | 19% | -7% |
| Inter Win Value | 4/6 1.70 | 56% | 77% | +21% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 Knockout fixture — both teams fully motivated
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Inter WWDWWWWDDL with 2.81 avg goals scored; Lazio 50% win rate, 1.51 avg goals scored at home
H2H: Inter win 6/8, avg 3 goals/game, away dominant — strong pattern of Inter controlling these fixtures
Stakes: Coppa Italia knockout, both fully motivated, business end of season — no dead-rubber discount applied
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-3.
⚔️ Head to Head
Inter have won 6 of the last 8 meetings with Lazio scoring zero in three of those clashes; the fixture averages 3 goals per game and is historically away-dominant, making a repeat Inter victory with multiple goals highly probable.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-3 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.