Lebanon vs Sudan

⚡ Stakes & Context

• ⏱️ Rest advantage: Lebanon (183d) vs Sudan (145d) — Lebanon significantly fresher

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Lebanon LDWLW at home with W, scoring 1.5 avg; Sudan LLWLL away with 0.59 avg goals scored
H2H: 2 meetings split 1-1, avg 2 goals/game, neutral dominance — limited data
Stakes: Friendly with no competitive stakes, but Lebanon fresher by 38 days and playing at home boosting motivation
Betting: BTTS NO — Sudan's xG of 0.75 and 0.59 avg goals scored suggest they are unlikely to breach Lebanon's defence; Over 2.5 YES — Lebanon's xG of 3.75 and Poisson model top scores all feature 3+ home goals

⚔️ Head to Head

Only 2 meetings on record, split evenly 1-1; most recent was a 2-1 Sudan win in Nov 2025 on neutral/away ground, limited trend data available

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
Sudan's chronic attacking inefficiency (avg 0.59 goals scored per game, xG 0.75) combined with a poor away record and Lebanon's solid defensive average (1.04 conceded) makes it highly unlikely Sudan find the net; Lebanon are projected to keep a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Lebanon's xG of 3.75 and Poisson model projecting 3-0, 4-0, and 3-1 as the top scorelines strongly supports over 2.5 total goals, driven entirely by Lebanon's attacking output rather than a two-way goal fest.