Liberia vs Sierra Leone

Tue 9 Jun 2026

Final Score

3 – 1

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

1 – 0

Home Win Medium

Liberia

32%

Draw

39%

Sierra Leone

29%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 9 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Liberia Win	6/4 2.55	36%	32%	-4%
Draw Value	2/1 3.08	30%	39%	+9%
Sierra Leone Win	7/4 2.75	34%	29%	-5%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Liberia averaging 0.72 goals scored at home, Sierra Leone averaging 1.08 overall but only drawing or losing away recently
H2H: 1.6 goals/game average across last 8 meetings — historically tight fixture, neutral dominance
Stakes: International friendly with nothing concrete at stake — motivation is modest for both sides, slightly favouring a conservative approach
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.

⚔️ Head to Head

Extremely balanced H2H with 3 wins each and 2 draws across 8 meetings. Recent meetings all decided by a single goal (1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 1-0), confirming this is a consistently tight, low-scoring rivalry.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.

Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org