Liechtenstein vs Cyprus
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 7 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liechtenstein Win | 8/1 9.00 | 11% | 7% | -4% |
| Draw | 10/3 4.20 | 23% | 13% | -10% |
| Cyprus Win Value | 2/5 1.40 | 66% | 80% | +14% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Liechtenstein on a two-game losing streak, averaging under half a goal scored; Cyprus unbeaten in last two with 4 goals scored in last outing. H2H: Limited data. Stakes: International friendly — low competitive stakes for both sides, though Cyprus's superior quality should still show. Betting: Bookmakers heavily favour Cyprus at 71%; model top scoreline is 0-3 at 11.4% probability, aligning with this prediction.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Liechtenstein have managed just 0.4 goals per game across recent fixtures and are expected to struggle to breach a Cyprus defence that, while conceding, is facing a far weaker opponent here. The 0-3 scoreline implies Liechtenstein are shut out, consistent with their poor attacking output and Cyprus's ability to control matches.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
A total of 3 goals (0-3) clears the 2.5 threshold comfortably. Cyprus's xG of 3.25 and their recent form showing 4 goals scored in their last match strongly support an over 2.5 outcome, with the away side expected to dominate possession and create multiple clear chances against a limited Liechtenstein side.