Monza vs Juve Stabia
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza Win Value | 8/11 1.73 | 54% | 78% | +24% |
| Draw | 5/2 3.55 | 26% | 19% | -7% |
| Juve Stabia Win | 4/1 4.80 | 20% | 3% | -17% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🎯 Monza chasing top-2 (P3)
- 😴 Juve Stabia mid-table (P7) — low motivation
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Monza home DWWDW with avg 1.96 goals scored; Juve Stabia away WDDLD with avg 1.43 goals scored
H2H: Last 3 meetings average 3.7 goals/game, two 2-2 draws and one 2-1 Monza win — draw-prone but goals expected
Stakes: Monza chasing top-2 promotion spot (P3), Juve Stabia mid-table (P7) with nothing to play for — significant motivation gap
Betting: BTTS supported by H2H pattern and Juve Stabia's away attacking record; Over 2.5 supported by 3.7 avg H2H goals and Monza's push for points
⚔️ Head to Head
Three recent meetings all produced multiple goals (2-2, 2-1, 2-2), averaging 3.7 goals per game with a strong draw tendency, but Monza claimed the only win in Feb 2026.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
Both teams are expected to score: Monza's attack is sharp at home and motivated by promotion pressure, while Juve Stabia have shown they can find the net even in away draws, and H2H history shows they have scored in all three recent meetings against Monza.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Over 2.5 goals is well-supported here — the last three H2H meetings averaged 3.7 goals per game, Monza are pushing for promotion and will attack with intent, and Juve Stabia's away record still shows scoring ability, making three or more goals in this fixture a realistic and historically consistent outcome.