Morocco vs Madagascar
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win Value | 1/12 1.09 | 86% | 91% | +5% |
| Draw | 8/1 9.50 | 10% | 6% | -4% |
| Madagascar Win | 20/1 22.00 | 4% | 3% | -1% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Morocco in exceptional form (WDWWWDWWWW), averaging 2.01 goals scored and just 0.23 conceded; Madagascar in poor form (WLLDLWLLLD) with weak away record (LLWLL)
H2H: Limited data but ELO gap and form disparity strongly favour Morocco
Stakes: International friendly, but Morocco likely motivated ahead of 2026 World Cup preparations; Madagascar have little to play for
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 3-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — but ELO gap of 322 points and contrasting recent form heavily favour a high-scoring Morocco win with a clean sheet.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 3-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 3-0 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.