Netherlands vs Algeria

Wed 3 Jun 2026

Final Score

0 – 1

Our prediction missed

✗ Result

✗ Exact score

✗ BTTS

✗ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

2 – 1

Home Win High

Netherlands

39%

Draw

37%

Algeria

24%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Netherlands Win	4/11 1.36	69%	39%	-30%
Draw Value	4/1 4.85	20%	37%	+17%
Algeria Win Value	8/1 8.75	11%	24%	+13%

2 value markets identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree

Across 13 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Netherlands (69% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.

We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Netherlands have 50% win rate with limited recent data; Algeria in excellent form (LWWWWDWWDW) but away from familiar territory. H2H: Limited data available. Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation for both sides, though Netherlands will want to impress ahead of the 2026 World Cup cycle. Betting: Bookmakers strongly back Netherlands (73% home win); low xG totals (0.79 vs 0.75) suggest under 2.5 goals is likely; Algeria's defensive record (0.71 conceded avg) keeps this tight but Netherlands' quality edge should deliver the clean sheet.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — insufficient H2H history to identify a strong trend between these two sides.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 2-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Total goals of 3 in the projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal line. The engine sees enough attacking output combined between the two sides.

CleverScore confidence: High

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org