Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba
📖 The Preview
Talleres come into this one as clear favourites and you can see why. Their 44% win probability tells the story, and despite some inconsistency in their recent ten games, they've got enough quality to go to Rosario and get a result. Newells are in serious trouble near the bottom and that pressure can weigh heavily on a team, even at home. The head-to-head slightly favours the hosts but form and league position point Talleres' way, and with both teams expected to score and goals likely, a 1-2 away win feels right.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newells Old Boys Win | 7/4 2.80 | 34% | 27% | -7% |
| Draw | 15/8 2.84 | 33% | 29% | -4% |
| Talleres Cordoba Win Value | 7/4 2.80 | 33% | 44% | +11% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆘 Newells Old Boys in relegation danger (P14/15)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Newells average 1.27 scored/1.47 conceded overall; Talleres average 0.77 scored/1.17 conceded but away record is DDWWD (unbeaten in 5 away)
H2H: 3.1 avg goals/game over last 8; Talleres won last two meetings; neutral overall dominance
Stakes: Newells in relegation danger (P14/15) — high motivation to attack at home; Talleres mid-table with nothing critical but in strong form
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Talleres have won the last two meetings (2-1 in Jan 2026, lost 1-3 in Dec 2024 at home), and H2H averages 3.1 goals per game — a historically open fixture. Newells hold a slight edge overall (4W vs 2W), but recent momentum favours Talleres.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.