Notts County vs Salford City
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County Win Value | 13/8 2.63 | 35% | 50% | +15% |
| Draw | 2/1 3.13 | 30% | 26% | -4% |
| Salford City Win | 7/4 2.69 | 35% | 24% | -11% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Notts County mid-table (P5) — low motivation
- ⬆️ Salford City in promotion hunt (P4)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Notts County patchy home form (DDLW), averaging under 1 goal scored; Salford City strong overall (DWDWWDLWWL) with 1.4 avg goals scored
H2H: Salford City dominant — 6 wins in last 7, all recent away fixtures won by Salford, avg 2.9 goals/game
Stakes: Notts County mid-table dead rubber vs Salford City in active promotion hunt — significant motivation gap favours visitors
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Salford City have won 6 of the last 7 meetings including four straight wins in this fixture, consistently scoring across all recent games — a clear away-dominant trend that strongly favours Salford regardless of venue.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-2 scoreline totals 4 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.