OFI vs CSKA Sofia
📖 The Preview
CSKA Sofia have been in seriously good nick lately, winning or drawing the vast majority of their last ten, while OFI have lost four on the bounce heading into this one. With Europa League elimination on the line, form matters, and the Bulgarians look the sharper side right now. OFI should nick one at home because knockout football is unpredictable like that, but CSKA look capable of coming away with a 2-1 win and the tie, edging it on the road.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 5 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI Win | 6/4 2.45 | 39% | 36% | -3% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.25 | 29% | 27% | -2% |
| CSKA Sofia Win Value | 2/1 2.98 | 32% | 37% | +5% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🏆 UEFA Europa League knockout — elimination stakes
🔍 Key Stats
Form: OFI — LLLL, averaging under 1 goal scored; CSKA Sofia — LWWWDWDDWW, strong away record WWDDW
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: UEFA Europa League knockout — elimination stakes, both sides fully motivated
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — no significant H2H trend available to adjust prediction
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.