Pakistan vs Afghanistan
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 6 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan Win | 7/4 2.75 | 34% | 31% | -3% |
| Draw Value | 7/4 2.77 | 34% | 40% | +6% |
| Afghanistan Win | 15/8 2.84 | 32% | 29% | -3% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Pakistan limited data but 50% win rate; Afghanistan winless in last 4, poor defensive record away
H2H: Pakistan unbeaten in all 3 meetings, including a recent 2-0 win; avg 1.3 goals per game — low-scoring pattern
Stakes: Friendly match — moderate motivation, but Pakistan playing at home with slight edge
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Pakistan unbeaten across the last 3 meetings (W1 D2), with two clean sheets in recent encounters. The fixture consistently produces low goal tallies, averaging just 1.3 goals per game.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.