Partick vs ST Mirren

Thu 21 May 2026

CleverScores Prediction

3 – 1

Home Win Medium

Partick

73%

Draw

16%

ST Mirren

11%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Partick Win Value	13/8 2.66	35%	73%	+38%
Draw	2/1 3.07	30%	16%	-14%
ST Mirren Win	13/8 2.68	35%	11%	-24%

1 value market identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree

Across 14 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Partick (35% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.

We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.

⚡ Stakes & Context

💀 ST Mirren already relegated (P10) — nothing to play for
💨 Windy (26.6km/h) — technical play affected

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Partick solid at home (WDWWD), conceding under 1 per game; ST Mirren in freefall (DWLLLLLWWL) scoring just 1.0 avg away
H2H: Away team has dominated historically but context has shifted — ST Mirren are relegated with no incentive
Stakes: ST Mirren already relegated (P10), zero motivation; Partick playing at business end with home crowd
Betting: BTTS unlikely — ST Mirren's lack of motivation and poor away scoring (0 goals in 3 of last 5 away games) points to a shutout. Under 2.5 supported by windy conditions and ST Mirren's disengaged squad.

⚔️ Head to Head

Away team has won 5 of last 8 meetings, but those results occurred when both clubs were competitive. ST Mirren's relegation removes the context that drove those away wins — motivation gap is decisive here.

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The 3-1 scoreline projects both teams scoring. The engine's underlying probability model gives both sides enough offensive output to find the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
Total goals expected to stay under 2.5 — windy conditions (26.6km/h) suppress technical play, ST Mirren have no incentive to press forward, and Partick's cautious home style (last scores: 2-1, 1-1, 1-1, 0-0, 2-2) rarely produces high-scoring affairs at home. A controlled 2-0 sits comfortably under the 2.5 threshold.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org