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Friendlies

Portugal vs Chile

Sat 6 Jun 2026
Final Score
2 – 1
Our prediction got the result right
Result
Exact score
BTTS
Over 2.5
CleverScores Prediction
2 – 1
Home Win Medium
Portugal
41%
Draw
35%
Chile
24%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection Odds Market % Model % Edge
Portugal Win 1/5 1.19 78% 41% -37%
Draw Value 11/2 6.50 15% 35% +20%
Chile Win Value 10/1 12.00 7% 24% +17%
2 value markets identified in this fixture.
Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree

Across 12 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Portugal (78% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.

We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Portugal mixed (50% win rate) but full squad available at home; Chile on a 4-game winning streak but those wins likely came against lower-ranked opposition given their 1500 ELO
H2H: Limited data available for recent meetings
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation, but Portugal will use home advantage to showcase quality ahead of the 2026 World Cup cycle
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — historically Portugal hold a significant advantage over Chile in competitive and friendly meetings given the ELO gap

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.

CleverScore confidence: Medium
Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org