Portugal vs Nigeria

Wed 10 Jun 2026

Final Score

2 – 1

Our prediction got the result right

✓ Result

✓ Exact score

✓ BTTS

✓ Over 2.5

CleverScores Prediction

2 – 1

Home Win Medium

Portugal

40%

Draw

39%

Nigeria

21%

💰 Finding the Value

Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.

Selection	Odds	Market %	Model %	Edge
Portugal Win	1/4 1.27	74%	40%	-34%
Draw Value	9/2 5.50	17%	39%	+22%
Nigeria Win Value	9/1 9.80	9%	21%	+12%

2 value markets identified in this fixture.

Edge is the gap between our model probability and the bookmaker consensus. A +5% or larger edge means we think this outcome is meaningfully more likely than the market does. Odds shown are the median across all bookies in both fractional (UK) and decimal formats — always verify current prices with your bookmaker. Predictions are for information only and are not financial advice.

📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree

Across 12 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Portugal (74% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.

We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.

View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff

🔍 Key Stats

Form: Portugal have limited recent data but ELO and bookmaker consensus strongly backs them; Nigeria are solid defensively (DDWWWWWLDD) but have struggled away at elite sides
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation for both sides but Portugal will want to perform ahead of World Cup 2026 cycle
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.

⚔️ Head to Head

Limited data — insufficient H2H history to draw strong trends between these sides

🎲 Betting Tips

Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.

Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.

CleverScore confidence: Medium

Predictions are AI-generated from form data, head-to-head history, and contextual signals. Football is unpredictable — never bet more than you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org