Qatar vs El Salvador
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar Win | 4/6 1.65 | 56% | 36% | -20% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.66 | 26% | 38% | +12% |
| El Salvador Win Value | 4/1 5.17 | 18% | 26% | +8% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Qatar on a poor run but averaging nearly 1 goal scored; El Salvador averaging just 0.12 goals scored in recent games — severely limited attack
H2H: Qatar won both meetings in 2021, including a 3-2 result suggesting they can score against El Salvador
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive stakes — low-motivation context favours a tight, low-scoring game
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Qatar won both meetings in July 2021 (3-2 and 1-0), showing clear historical dominance over El Salvador in the only two recorded clashes.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-0 scoreline totals 1 goals, keeping it under 2.5.