Qatar vs El Salvador
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar Win | 4/6 1.65 | 56% | 36% | -20% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.66 | 26% | 38% | +12% |
| El Salvador Win Value | 4/1 5.17 | 18% | 26% | +8% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Qatar on a poor run but averaging nearly 1 goal scored; El Salvador averaging just 0.12 goals scored in recent games — severely limited attack
H2H: Qatar won both meetings in 2021, including a 3-2 result suggesting they can score against El Salvador
Stakes: International friendly with no competitive stakes — low-motivation context favours a tight, low-scoring game
Betting: BTTS unlikely given El Salvador's near-zero recent scoring rate; Under 2.5 supported by both teams' defensive-dominant recent form and low xG figures
⚔️ Head to Head
Qatar won both meetings in July 2021 (3-2 and 1-0), showing clear historical dominance over El Salvador in the only two recorded clashes.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
El Salvador have scored just 0.12 goals per game in recent form and failed to score in three of their last four matches, making it highly unlikely they find the net here. Qatar's defence, while leaky at times, should be capable of shutting out this toothless El Salvador attack.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Both teams carry very low xG (Qatar 0.79, El Salvador 0.75) and both are in poor attacking form with minimal goals scored recently. This is a low-stakes friendly between two teams struggling to score, strongly pointing toward an under 2.5 goals outcome.