Queen's Park vs Raith Rovers
📖 The Preview
Both sides look pretty evenly matched here, and the numbers back that up with the win probabilities separated by just six percentage points. Queen's Park have looked decent lately but Raith have that stubborn draw tendency baked into their recent form, and the head-to-head record actually favours Raith. A goal each feels right for this one, both teams finding the net but neither able to push through for a winner in what should be a tight, low-scoring Scottish Championship affair.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 14 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park Win Value | 11/4 3.75 | 24% | 37% | +13% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.34 | 28% | 32% | +4% |
| Raith Rovers Win | 10/11 1.91 | 48% | 31% | -17% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 🆕 Fresh standings — no meaningful positions established yet, both sides starting on equal footing
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Queen's Park strong at home (WW) but inconsistent overall; Raith Rovers defensively tight away (DD) with low goals conceded
H2H: High-scoring history (3.4 avg) with draws and Raith wins dominating — last meeting ended 1-1
Stakes: Early season, equal footing, no promotion/relegation pressure — lean toward cautious, draw-oriented play
Betting: both teams to score, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Raith Rovers have won 4 of last 8 meetings but draws are common; the Jan 2026 and Aug 2025 meetings both ended 1-1, and the most recent fixture this year finished 1-1 — reinforcing a draw pattern in evenly contested games.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 1-1 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.