Rep. Of Ireland vs Grenada
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 10 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland Win | 1/25 1.06 | 89% | 72% | -17% |
| Draw Value | 12/1 12.13 | 8% | 17% | +9% |
| Grenada Win Value | 25/1 28.00 | 3% | 11% | +8% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Rep. Of Ireland (340d) vs Grenada (183d) — Rep. Of Ireland significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Ireland in two consecutive draws (0-0, 1-1) but strong home win probability; Grenada strong overall (WWWWLDD) but away form reads LDD with limited attacking output on the road
H2H: Limited data available
Stakes: International friendly — moderate motivation; Ireland fresher with 157 more rest days, providing a meaningful physical edge
Betting: BTTS unlikely given Grenada's poor away scoring and Ireland's recent defensive solidity; Under 2.5 leans close but 2-0 sits just at the threshold — bookmaker odds overwhelmingly favour Ireland keeping Grenada at bay
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to establish a reliable scoring trend between these two nations.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
Grenada's away record shows two draws and a loss with limited attacking output on the road, and Ireland's recent matches have featured solid defensive discipline. With Ireland's xG advantage and Grenada unlikely to break through a fresh, well-organised Irish backline in a friendly context, Grenada are expected to be shut out.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
Ireland's last two results were 0-0 and 1-1, reflecting a low-scoring pattern. While the model gives Ireland 2.04 xG, the overall total of 2 goals (2-0) sits right at the 2.5 threshold and lands under it. Grenada's road attacking output is modest, and a tight 2-0 scoreline suggests the match stays under 2.5 goals.