Rep. Of Ireland vs Qatar
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 12 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland Win | 4/6 1.65 | 57% | 36% | -21% |
| Draw Value | 11/4 3.80 | 25% | 38% | +13% |
| Qatar Win Value | 4/1 5.00 | 18% | 26% | +8% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Rep. Of Ireland (351d) vs Qatar (171d) — Rep. Of Ireland significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Ireland unbeaten in recent games (2 draws) but improving; Qatar on a poor run LDLLLDL with heavy defeats
H2H: Ireland dominant — won 4-0 at home last meeting, never lost to Qatar; avg 3 goals/game in H2H
Stakes: Friendly but Ireland fresher by 180 days — physical and sharpness edge meaningful
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 0-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Ireland unbeaten in both H2H meetings — 4-0 win at home in Oct 2021 and 1-1 draw in Qatar in Mar 2021. Qatar have never beaten Ireland and concede heavily.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 0-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 0-0 scoreline totals 0 goals, keeping it under 2.5.