Rosenborg vs Viking
📖 The Preview
Viking are the ones with something to fight for here, sitting second in the table and very much in the title conversation, while Rosenborg are just drifting along in mid-table with nothing really riding on this. The head-to-head record heavily favours Viking, and their recent form has been excellent. Rosenborg aren't without hope at home, but losing Fossum and Islamovic hurts their attacking options. Expect Viking to come here and do a job, nicking it 1-2 in what should be an open enough game with goals at both ends.
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg Win | 13/8 2.60 | 36% | 34% | -2% |
| Draw | 11/4 3.80 | 25% | 22% | -3% |
| Viking Win Value | 11/8 2.38 | 39% | 44% | +5% |
⚡ Stakes & Context
- 😴 Rosenborg mid-table (P9) — low motivation
- 🏆 Viking in title race (P2)
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Viking on strong run (WWDWWLDWWW, 70% win rate), Rosenborg inconsistent at home (WLWWD); Viking avg 2.16 goals scored, Rosenborg conceding 1.19 on average
H2H: Viking dominate with 5 wins in last 8, avg 4.1 goals per game — historically high-scoring fixture with away side regularly winning
Stakes: Rosenborg mid-table (P9) with minimal motivation; Viking in title race (P2) with maximum urgency — massive motivational edge to the visitors
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 1-2.
⚔️ Head to Head
Viking have won 5 of the last 8 meetings with away dominance as the clear pattern; games average 4.1 goals with Viking winning 3-0 in May 2026 and 2-1 in Aug 2025 — a strong trend of Viking controlling this fixture, especially away from home.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 1-2 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.