Salford City vs Grimsby
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 13 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City Win Value | 5/4 2.23 | 42% | 49% | +7% |
| Draw | 9/4 3.32 | 28% | 23% | -5% |
| Grimsby Win | 2/1 3.10 | 30% | 28% | -2% |
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⬆️ Salford City in promotion hunt (P4)
- 😴 Grimsby mid-table (P7) — low motivation
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Salford home record is WDWWW with last home scores of 2-1, 0-0, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 — strong defensive solidity but capable of scoring; Grimsby away form is DWWLW with high scoring output
H2H: Away team has dominated historically (Grimsby 5 wins vs Salford 3), avg 2.9 goals per game — but Salford won the most recent meeting 2-1 in May 2026
Stakes: Salford pushing for promotion (P4) with elevated intensity; Grimsby in mid-table (P7) with little to play for — motivation gap strongly favours the home side
Betting: both teams to score, over 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-1.
⚔️ Head to Head
Grimsby have historically dominated this fixture with 5 wins in 8 meetings and the away team tends to win, but Salford claimed the most recent encounter 2-1 in May 2026. Average of 2.9 goals per game in H2H supports goals in this match.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline has both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals: Yes
The projected 2-1 scoreline totals 3 goals, clearing the 2.5 line.