Scotland vs Curaçao
💰 Finding the Value
Our model probability vs the consensus across 11 bookmakers. Positive edge means we think this outcome is more likely than the market implies.
| Selection | Odds | Market % | Model % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland Win | 1/5 1.19 | 78% | 43% | -35% |
| Draw Value | 5/1 6.00 | 15% | 35% | +20% |
| Curaçao Win Value | 12/1 14.00 | 7% | 22% | +15% |
📊 Heads up: bookmakers disagree
Across 11 bookmakers, the consensus favoured Scotland (78% implied probability). Our engine saw this match differently.
We surface this disagreement so you can weigh both views. The pick above is our engine's, not the bookmakers' — but if you'd usually trust the market, this is worth knowing.
View pre-match analysis What we said before kickoff
⚡ Stakes & Context
- ⏱️ Rest advantage: Scotland (354d) vs Curaçao (339d) — Scotland significantly fresher
🔍 Key Stats
Form: Scotland W-L with a 4-0 win recently; Curaçao L-D-D-L with minimal scoring output
H2H: Limited data — no strong historical trend to lean on
Stakes: International friendly with moderate motivation; Scotland playing at home boosts confidence
Betting: a clean sheet for one side, under 2.5 goals — in line with the projected 2-0.
⚔️ Head to Head
Limited data — insufficient H2H history to establish a reliable trend between these two nations.
🎲 Betting Tips
Both Teams to Score: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline has at least one side kept off the scoresheet.
Over 2.5 Goals: No
The projected 2-0 scoreline totals 2 goals, keeping it under 2.5.